Monday 30 November 2009

Upside down tennis

I said it last year and I'll say it again... I can not believe it's that time again - time for my annual tennis review. It's been a strange year this year, by which i mean tennis has become somewhat unpredictable. In the last 5 years of dominance in what I'm gonna call the Federer years, there has been an air of predictability about the big tournaments, that is Nadal wins the French open and Federer wins the rest. However, perhaps we were given a hint right at the very beginning of this year that this was to be no ordinary year.

Following a great 2008 for Nadal, where he wrestled the Wimbledon title and no.1 ranking from Federer, these two giants locked horns once more in Nadal's first hard court grand slam final - the Australian Open. Federer, twice winner in oz, was hot favourite to win despite Nadal's form, but it was not to be the case, and he only had himself to blame. In a similar fashion to last year he did not take his chances. He should have won the first and third sets, but Nadal took them both and inevitably the title which led to Federer's heavily critized emotional outburst. I had nothing but sympathy for the man who thought that this would be the day he would win the record equalling 14th grand slam and enter his legendary status in tennis history. Instead Rafa had now beaten him in finals on all surfaces, and it looked like it was slipping from Federer's grasp.

Enter the clay court season. In the lead up to this event, two extrodinary events occured. First Federer smashed a racket in his loss to Djokovic in Miami. It looked like Federer's reign was finally falling apart at the seams. Amazingly though he fought back his way back into form, beating Nadal on clay for only the second time, in Hamburg. Cometh the hour, cometh the man, and this years french open will be remembered as one of the most famous in history. Roger Federer finally completed the golden slam and achieved his 14th grand slam, but even more memorable than that, was the biggest shock in tennis for years... Rafael Nadal losing on clay, more specifically in the french open. Four time winner, current champion, never lost a match at Roland Garros and it wasn't even to Federer , but to someone who was considered an also-ran until this year - Robin Soderling.

This victory helped Federer ragain his mojo that took a massive weight of his shoulders, allowing him to play freely, showing some of the best tennis of his career. Coupled with his new drop shot and new found ability to grind matches out, Federer was unstoppable for the next couple of months, also winning Wimbledon and Cincinatti. Nadal on the other hand was having the complete opposite to his year last year, losing his french open, wimbledon and world no.1 crowns back to Federer.

Then came the US Open. Federer strolled through to the final. Murray has a disappointing 4th round exit after much hype. Then came the next big shock of the year, Juan Martin Del Potro beating an in form Federer in the final of the US Open. Del Potro has been considered to have the potential to be the next big thing for the last few years and I would tend to agree, going by the evidence of this break through year for him. He has a forehand to die for and an appetite for the big matches. I believe he will cause more damage to the fading established order than Murray or Djokovic.

Toward the end of the season Murray and Nadal came back from injury both with varying fortunes. Nadal could barely win a match and Murray won in Valencia. In fact Nadal's form is worrying for next year as he doesn't look anything like the man that nobody could touch at the start of the season. Murray had a brilliant first half of the season, but has been disappointing since winning in Montreal. It should be noted he hasn't beaten anyone in the top 4 since Indian Wells and will need to do something special in the off season to keep up with the rest.

Finally, the end of season tournament - the Masters Cup summed - up the season with upset after upset. Despite beating Del Potro and winning 2 matches, Del Potro and Federer made it out of Murray's group. The second group was way more interesting. Djokovic who has been back in descent form and favourite to qualify. Instead it was Soderling and Davydenko. Then amazingly Davydenko beat Federer for the first time in 13 attempts to make the final, and buoyed by this victory, took the title by beating Del Potro. He would have been my last pick to win the tournament, maybe now hes showing he can fight with the big boys, but I doubt it. I still don't think he has the class to consistantly challenge for big prizes, but he deserves credit for his efforts here.

So the season has now ended, and who knows what 2010 will bring. I am already looking forward to Australia and for the first time in a long time, I have no idea what the outcome will be. Federer, Nadal, Murray, Djokovic, Del Potro all with equal and realistic chances to win, making tennis so much more interesting. Can the rest of the world put up a challenge to break this mould? On the evidence of this season I wouldn't want to hazard a guess!

2 comments:

Peter said...

thats a pretty good summary.
For the first time in ages there are now 5 challengers for aus and maybe 3 or 4 that arent far behind.
I do fear del po,surely he will begin to dominate, his rate of development this year has been nothing short of staggering, Im not sure he can be beaten on the clay, he seems so comfortable. had he had more experience of the big stage he may have prevented our roger from takin the french.

As for murray, where can he go from here? physically can he get stronger without compromising his strenght to weight ratio, can he run faster or harder than he has done this year? or will he be the nearly man for the brits once again.
When we see murray grab the ball by the horns and attack an opponent he is irresistible, he has all the shots and so much finesse. But time and time again he sits back on the baseline absorbing pressure and waiting for his opponents to do something......
this may work in the early rounds of the big events, however he needs to develop a weapon( aside from serve) wereby he can win points quickly.

If we look at his 4 grandslam losses this year... verdasco-gonzo,arod and cilic. all these guys would kill to have the repetoire of shots murray has, however they all possess a monster forehand and when push came to shove they were able to win cheap points as murray tried desperately in vain scraping balls back from the back of the court.

I think its extremely unlikely that murray will be able to put more power on his FH or any other groundstroke. I think if murray is to progress further and win a gslam then he must adopt a more attacking approach to his game, take away opponents time, move them from side to side, use the repetoire that he has, but inside the baseline, not miles behind it.

Peter said...

as for nadal, rumours have been circulating for years that his knees have maybe 2/3 years max left, even the troublesome heel injury he had a few years back threatened to derail any kind of federesque dominance. Has nadals level dropped? unquestoionably so, however maybe we saw something which we have never seen before on that grey parisiene day against soderling.
Robin simply beat him up, he hit hard, he hit flat, he hit the corners. He executed the kind of bread and butter shots that we all spend hours practising.
Maybe nadal has been found out, maybe the superspin is no longer as affective against the flat hitters like soderling, youzhny.

Can he recover? so much of nadals game is based around this great physical presence, his speed, fitness and strength.
The 10week layoff did nothing to help rafa and he simply hasnt got going since.
Hes had maybe a few days off since the davis cup victory and is now back in preseason training for aus open 2010
hardly the ideal preparation or recipe for success.

One man we have failed to mention is Novak. This guy is a top top player and on his day can beat anybody in the top 5. What bugs me is his consistency, maybe federer has rewritten the rules and consistency in making final after final of the events he plays. Novak always starts the year well, with a victory in Melbourne 08 and finished off with a masters cup win.
After his wins in basle and paris (am i right he won paris)
i think he was everyones favourite to win the masters cup in london.
But shock shock he looses a group game and doesnt even qualify.
You never know which Nole is gonna turn up,changing his racquet sponsor didnt do him any good either!
He has the talent to be a great but wether he gets 5-8 grandslams as his talent deserves is unlikely.
Too much parental involvement, lack of discpline ( he hasnt finished plenty of tour matches through illness, heat, fatigue) and lack of a set of balls.
Sometimes i question does this guy have any heart? as when the goin gets tough, djokovic gets goin!

FEDERER- THE KING WHERE NOW?
Can roger really cement his place in history take a few more hardcourt grandslams and a wimbledon, maybe take his tally to 18??

Having seen the confidence that the wimbledon win brought and the best tennis iv ever seen anybody play; I know roger can win again, i know he has the desire and the heart, had he won aus open ( which conceivably he should have) he also should have us open.
He had lapses of concentration, didnt take his chances....
Will he get the same chances again?
The mens game is loaded with fantastic talent even a 3rd round tie can be tricky with guys like seppi, kohlschreiber and a even a back from injury Fat Dave.
Maybe guys like delpo and cilic have greater heart and desire than federer....maybe only time will tell. The guy could play for years on the doubles circuit,who knows how many titles he could get..


As for 2010, who knows. Im looking forward to Verdasco, Cilic, Gonzo tsonga and Monnfils ( and daydenko the poor unpopular uncool guy), hoping they can provide some upsets.

Also looking forward to misses federer coming back--- justine is what the game has been missing.
If clijsters can beat both the world beating williams then henin, by far a superior player than all of them can win wimbledon.....

can wait? maybe your next topic may be..... burnout or bucks, the tennis calendar needs shortening!